Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Tainan Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.6% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 51.2% | +0.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.9% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 21.6% | -16.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 25.6% | -18.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -0.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.0% | +10.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Surreptitious Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |