← TripleTactics TCG PTM Regionals 2026
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at TripleTactics TCG PTM Regionals 2026
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.7% | 13 | 3-6-4 | 38.5% | 41.2% | 45.8% | -1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.9% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 41.0% | -4.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.5% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 72.1% | +12.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 35.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 8 | 5-2-1 | 68.8% | 62.5% | 59.4% | +4.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 35.2% | -9.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.9% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 7 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 50.6% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 61.3% | +7.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.7% | -4.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 39.2% | -6.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Allies | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +3.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Water Fractal | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.5% | +22.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Exia | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |