Gaming Giant PTM Virginia Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	9	13.4%	24-25-4	49.1%	43.8%	50.9%	48.7%	1326	—
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	7.5%	15-9-5	60.3%	50.2%	53.7%	50.9%	1332	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	6.0%	7-9-3	44.7%	53.3%	45.4%	48.8%	1167	↓ low
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	6.0%	16-10-3	60.3%	54.7%	52.0%	51.2%	1372	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	3	4.5%	10-3-4	70.6%	54.9%	58.2%	54.3%	1371	↑ top
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	4.5%	5-11-2	33.3%	48.4%	43.9%	48.9%	1201	↓ low
7		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	4.5%	11-5-5	64.3%	63.6%	52.7%	53.9%	1375	↑ top
8		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	4.5%	6-11-2	36.8%	47.0%	44.0%	47.6%	1232	↓ low
9		Water Genbu	Tier 2	3	4.5%	6-7-4	47.1%	39.9%	47.9%	46.3%	1352	—
10		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	4.5%	4-11-3	30.6%	46.8%	43.1%	46.8%	1130	↓ low
11		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	3	4.5%	6-6-3	50.0%	50.3%	48.6%	49.1%	1281	—
12		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	3.0%	4-6-2	41.7%	42.3%	47.2%	47.6%	1242	↓ low
13		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	3.0%	7-7-0	50.0%	47.1%	52.0%	51.3%	1275	—
14		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.0%	5-4-4	53.8%	56.2%	51.2%	52.4%	1286	—
15		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	3.0%	8-5-1	60.7%	54.2%	50.6%	50.1%	1596	↑ top
16		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	3.0%	9-5-0	64.3%	62.8%	53.3%	55.0%	1403	↑ top
17		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	3.0%	8-4-0	66.7%	63.5%	59.4%	58.2%	1331	—
18		Fire Astra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-5-0	0.0%	34.8%	40.0%	44.0%	989	↓ low
19		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	35.2%	42.5%	41.8%	1269	—
20		Fire Exia	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.4%	41.2%	47.5%	1189	↓ low
21		Fire Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	49.3%	50.5%	49.9%	1343	—
22		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.3%	40.0%	43.0%	1122	↓ low
23		Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.5%	1-1-0	50.0%	53.2%	53.8%	53.6%	1243	↓ low
24		Water Chess	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-3-1	50.0%	53.5%	47.4%	49.5%	1341	—
25		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	45.0%	47.8%	47.6%	1311	—
26		Wind Alice	Tier 2	1	1.5%	5-2-0	71.4%	51.9%	50.7%	47.1%	1407	↑ top
27		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-5-1	31.2%	38.0%	45.0%	46.0%	1203	↓ low
28		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.4%	55.0%	55.6%	1293	—
29		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-5-0	28.6%	41.0%	45.5%	46.3%	1250	—
30		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-1-1	75.0%	73.1%	60.7%	64.7%	1511	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 9 decks · 13.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 6.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 6.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 4.5%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 4.5%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.5%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 4.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Arcane 3 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Aetherwing 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 3.0%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Astra Ranger 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 1.5%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.5%