← Gaming Giant PTM Virginia Regional
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Gaming Giant PTM Virginia Regional
decks
2
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
9-5-0
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1403
· median 1403
· range 1364–1442
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1218
Q3 1392
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.1% | +18.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -12.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.6% | -8.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.5 |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Alice | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
