← Gaming Giant PTM Virginia Regional
Wind ArcaneTier 2
at Gaming Giant PTM Virginia Regional
decks
3
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-6-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1262
· range 1192–1388
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1218
Q3 1392
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.7% | +12.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
