← Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
Fire Slice & DiceTier 2
at Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
59.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1290
· median 1290
· range 1290–1290
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1189
Q3 1367
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 26.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 62.6% | +9.4 |
| Slimes | 13.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slice & Dice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
