← Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024

Wind Neos TonorisTier 3

at Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024

decks
1 (0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.0% avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
38.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1005 · median 1005 · range 1005–1005 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941 Q1 1189 Q3 1367 1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 26.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.6% -14.7
Slimes 13.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -12.9
Wind Shadowstrike 10.5% 0
Fire Arcane 7.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.8
Fire Crux Hybrid 6.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.3% 0
Water Allies 5.3% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.3% 0
Fire Aggro 4.4% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.2% +18.0
Wind Slimes 2.6% 0
Fire Slimes 1.8% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.7
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.8% 0
Fire Slice & Dice 0.9% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.9% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.9% 0
Water Diana 0.9% 0
Water Overlord 0.9% 0
Wind Diana 0.9% 0
Wind Overlord 0.9% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/5206/archetypes/Wind Neos Tonoris