← Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
Wind SlimesTier 2
at Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
decks
3
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
6-9-3
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.3%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
51.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1265
· median 1232
· range 1227–1336
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1189
Q3 1367
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 26.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Slimes | 13.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.2% | +7.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +1.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.9% | -11.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.7% | -11.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Water Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
