← Illusive Online Webcam Regionals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Illusive Online Webcam Regionals.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 92.9% | 63.8% | 61.9% | 56.1% | 1307 | — |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 5 | 5.1% | 28 | 64.3% | 53.2% | 55.5% | 51.1% | 1358 | — |
| 3 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 78.6% | 54.4% | 55.0% | 51.0% | 1536 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 13 | 13.1% | 68 | 55.9% | 53.3% | 53.8% | 52.3% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 5 | 5.1% | 33 | 59.1% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 51.0% | 1304 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 52.8% | 53.4% | 51.5% | 1353 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 9 | 9.1% | 48 | 51.0% | 50.2% | 53.3% | 51.7% | 1306 | — |
| 8 | Wind Slimes | 3 | 3.0% | 19 | 60.5% | 52.7% | 53.3% | 50.8% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 35.7% | 50.1% | 51.6% | 52.5% | 1239 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Allies | 6 | 6.1% | 39 | 55.1% | 52.0% | 51.2% | 50.6% | 1322 | — |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Tristan | 2 | 2.0% | 10 | 55.0% | 53.7% | 51.0% | 51.4% | 1349 | — |
| 12 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 52.5% | 50.6% | 50.6% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 3.0% | 15 | 46.7% | 49.4% | 49.4% | 49.9% | 1259 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 54.2% | 49.3% | 50.8% | 1250 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 10 | 10.1% | 59 | 41.5% | 46.3% | 48.0% | 48.8% | 1270 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Ravishing Mill | 6 | 6.1% | 36 | 38.9% | 44.4% | 47.3% | 48.2% | 1319 | — |
| 17 | Water Beast | 1 | 1.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.2% | 46.7% | 49.1% | 1470 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Wind Shadowstrike | 12 | 12.1% | 62 | 42.7% | 46.3% | 46.3% | 48.0% | 1309 | — |
| 19 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 35.7% | 49.0% | 46.1% | 49.2% | 1155 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Allies | 15 | 15.2% | 71 | 45.8% | 48.5% | 45.8% | 48.5% | 1338 | — |
| 21 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 28.6% | 44.7% | 44.2% | 47.8% | 1334 | — |
| 22 | Wind Diana | 1 | 1.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 42.5% | 40.0% | 46.5% | 1175 | ↓ low |