← The Philippine Grand Archive MNL Regionals by Heralds' Peak - Wolves Den
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Philippine Grand Archive MNL Regionals by Heralds' Peak - Wolves Den.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 3 | 2.4% | 22 | 65.9% | 62.3% | 58.4% | 55.9% | 1365 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 12 | 9.5% | 79 | 56.3% | 44.9% | 55.3% | 47.7% | 1414 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Slimes | 22 | 17.5% | 120 | 60.0% | 58.4% | 55.1% | 53.8% | 1313 | — |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.5% | 54.6% | 52.7% | 1421 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Lorraine | 2 | 1.6% | 15 | 66.7% | 48.8% | 52.9% | 47.7% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 57.1% | 36.9% | 52.8% | 45.1% | 1685 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 9 | 7.1% | 66 | 54.5% | 53.6% | 52.2% | 51.7% | 1278 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.8% | 8 | 56.2% | 47.7% | 52.1% | 50.7% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 51.8% | 52.3% | 1355 | — |
| 10 | Fire Arcane | 4 | 3.2% | 27 | 53.7% | 55.1% | 51.1% | 52.4% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 54.6% | 50.7% | 53.2% | 1283 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 9 | 7.1% | 57 | 53.5% | 52.5% | 50.5% | 49.6% | 1354 | — |
| 13 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 57.1% | 56.1% | 48.8% | 50.2% | 1054 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 9 | 7.1% | 59 | 47.5% | 44.4% | 48.4% | 46.5% | 1370 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Fire Aggro | 13 | 10.3% | 74 | 49.3% | 56.3% | 48.2% | 53.6% | 1220 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Beast | 1 | 0.8% | 9 | 44.4% | 53.9% | 48.0% | 51.1% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Tera Tamer | 1 | 0.8% | 9 | 44.4% | 53.9% | 48.0% | 51.1% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 1.6% | 13 | 42.3% | 35.1% | 47.0% | 43.6% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Wind Beast | 4 | 3.2% | 26 | 42.3% | 44.3% | 46.8% | 46.8% | 1348 | — |
| 20 | Fire Tonoris | 2 | 1.6% | 14 | 42.9% | 50.3% | 46.8% | 50.0% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Neos | 1 | 0.8% | 4 | 12.5% | 24.6% | 46.7% | 39.3% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.1% | 46.6% | 47.4% | 1446 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 0.8% | 6 | 16.7% | 35.8% | 45.5% | 47.4% | 1305 | — |
| 24 | Water Crux Merlin | 2 | 1.6% | 10 | 35.0% | 45.4% | 44.9% | 46.4% | 1363 | — |
| 25 | Wind Tristan | 1 | 0.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.9% | 44.6% | 45.6% | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Wind Allies | 18 | 14.3% | 84 | 39.3% | 42.9% | 43.4% | 45.6% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Neos | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 21.4% | 39.2% | 43.0% | 46.6% | 1331 | — |
| 28 | Fire Erupting | 3 | 2.4% | 22 | 47.7% | 52.6% | 43.0% | 45.9% | 1264 | — |
| 29 | Wind Tera Tamer | 1 | 0.8% | 8 | 25.0% | 38.2% | 40.9% | 42.6% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Water Overlord | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 28.6% | 40.8% | 39.5% | 42.1% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.8% | 5 | 0.0% | 26.1% | 38.6% | 40.9% | 1352 | — |