NorCal Regionals 2024
2024-09-21 · 2230 Sunrise Blvd, Gold River, CA 95670, USA · season Mercurial Heart · Standard
100 decks · 319 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix
- Slimes 23.0%
- Wind Shadowstrike 12.0%
- Water Ravishing Mill 9.0%
- Fire Crux Mage 8.0%
- Wind Allies 8.0%
Archetype Breakdown
Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.
| # | Archetype | Tier | Decks | Share | W-L-D | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | Tier 1 | 23 | 61-44-12 | 57.3% | 55.1% | 54.6% | 53.3% | 1331 | — | ||
| 2 |
Wind Shadowstrike
|
Tier 1 | 12 | 29-29-10 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 48.7% | 48.4% | 1322 | — | ||
| 3 |
Water Ravishing Mill
|
Tier 1 | 9 | 28-22-5 | 55.5% | 55.9% | 48.4% | 49.6% | 1327 | — | ||
| 4 |
Fire Crux Mage
|
Tier 1 | 8 | 22-21-5 | 51.0% | 50.6% | 51.6% | 51.5% | 1338 | — | ||
| 5 |
Wind Allies
|
Tier 2 | 8 | 16-22-6 | 43.2% | 46.4% | 41.9% | 44.4% | 1235 | ↓ low | ||
| 6 |
Wind Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 1 | 7 | 17-11-8 | 58.3% | 51.5% | 57.8% | 54.0% | 1471 | ↑ top | ||
| 7 |
Fire Aggro
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 9-7-1 | 55.9% | 52.2% | 55.1% | 54.5% | 1404 | ↑ top | ||
| 8 |
Fire Crux Hybrid
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 7-8-1 | 46.9% | 47.4% | 37.1% | 40.9% | 1308 | — | ||
| 9 |
Fire Slimes
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 6-7-6 | 47.4% | 55.4% | 49.7% | 53.2% | 1151 | ↓ low | ||
| 10 |
Wind Beast
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 8-9-3 | 47.5% | 42.4% | 45.6% | 43.8% | 1337 | — | ||
| 11 |
Fire Arcane
|
Tier 2 | 2 | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 54.0% | 45.9% | 49.2% | 1132 | ↓ low | ||
| 12 |
Fire Erupting
|
Tier 2 | 2 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 52.2% | 54.5% | 53.0% | 1218 | ↓ low | ||
| 13 |
Water Allies
|
Tier 2 | 2 | 2-9-1 | 20.8% | 38.4% | 39.9% | 45.8% | 1185 | ↓ low | ||
| 14 |
Fire Astra Cleric
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 39.9% | 43.0% | 45.5% | 1407 | ↑ top | ||
| 15 |
Fire Crux Merlin
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 34.8% | 41.7% | 43.8% | 1335 | — | ||
| 16 |
Fire Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 43.8% | 38.8% | 39.3% | 1432 | ↑ top | ||
| 17 |
Fire Umbra Ranger
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 32.7% | 45.4% | 46.1% | 1116 | ↓ low | ||
| 18 |
Water Astra Arisanna
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 32.1% | 41.9% | 39.7% | 1447 | ↑ top | ||
| 19 |
Water Crux Lorraine
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 61.6% | 54.5% | 53.0% | 1352 | — | ||
| 20 |
Water Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 57.0% | 48.4% | 49.7% | 1484 | ↑ top | ||
| 21 |
Wind Astra Arisanna
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.7% | 46.7% | 46.8% | 1179 | ↓ low | ||
| 22 |
Wind Astra Cleric
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 48.5% | 52.5% | 52.3% | 1134 | ↓ low | ||
| 23 |
Wind Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 56.4% | 53.6% | 54.7% | 1263 | — | ||
| 24 |
Wind Diana
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 45.5% | 48.5% | 50.8% | 1223 | ↓ low | ||
| 25 |
Wind Neos
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 30.7% | 40.0% | 41.7% | 1263 | — | ||
| 26 |
Wind Slice & Dice
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 51.5% | 41.6% | 45.2% | 1323 | — | ||
| 27 |
Wind Umbra Diana
|
Tier 3 | 1 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 35.6% | 40.7% | 41.7% | 1192 | ↓ low | ||
| 28 |
Wind Vanitas
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 5-0-2 | 85.7% | 62.1% | 59.9% | 55.1% | 1561 | ↑ top | ||
Final Placements · 100 players
Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.
| Placement | Player | Record | Deck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DuckHats | 6-0-1 | Slimes |
| 2 | Srlqulongtard | 5-0-2 | Wind Vanitas |
| 3 | Crimsym | 5-1-1 | Slimes |
| 4 | TheRainGoddess | 5-1-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 5 | ChromatiK | 5-1-1 | Fire Erupting |
| 6 | FretTheCapo | 5-1-1 | Slimes |
| 7 | Sano | 5-1-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 8 | Emp | 5-1-1 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 9 | Donkroxa | 5-1-1 | Wind Allies |
| 10 | MissMochaMae | 5-1-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 11 | Kurono | 5-2-0 | Water Crux Lorraine |
| 12 | Kitsumiya | 5-2-0 | Slimes |
| 13 | Malvae | 5-2-0 | Slimes |
| 14 | FrankieDoodle | 5-2-0 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 15 | TTA | 5-2-0 | Slimes |
| 16 | Jofacha | 4-1-2 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 17 | Shuteemdown | 4-1-2 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 18 | Auli | 4-1-2 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 19 | Fallinbuu14 | 4-2-1 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 20 | Mewkiss | 4-2-1 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 21 | Brai | 4-2-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 22 | EnderZone | 4-2-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 23 | Point | 4-2-1 | Slimes |
| 24 | tent | 4-2-1 | Slimes |
| 25 | Ferrenthian | 4-3-0 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 26 | LetThemEatCakeDX | 4-3-0 | Wind Crux Mage |
| 27 | Ixer | 4-3-0 | Fire Arcane |
| 28 | Berg | 4-3-0 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 29 | Xiadow | 4-3-0 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 30 | Skysama | 4-3-0 | Wind Allies |
| 31 | DarkSln117 | 4-3-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 32 | TheOnlyGoodman | 4-3-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 33 | RjArchiver | 4-3-0 | Slimes |
| 34 | Aoret | 4-3-0 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 35 | Kotae | 3-2-2 | Slimes |
| 36 | Yugi | 2-0-5 | Fire Slimes |
| 37 | mDuo13 | 3-2-2 | Water Crux Mage |
| 38 | Sakomi | 3-2-2 | Wind Allies |
| 39 | thegodlee | 3-3-1 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 40 | Sebastian | 3-2-1 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 41 | LongN | 3-3-1 | Slimes |
| 42 | Lee | 3-3-1 | Wind Allies |
| 43 | Aus | 3-2-1 | Wind Beast |
| 44 | SolarGames | 3-3-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 45 | h4mx0r | 3-3-1 | Wind Beast |
| 46 | Linus | 3-3-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 47 | Neek0 | 3-3-1 | Slimes |
| 48 | Zorrolicious | 2-3-1 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 49 | Sarif | 3-3-1 | Wind Allies |
| 50 | Bocol123 | 3-3-1 | Slimes |
| 51 | KydlimePie | 3-2-1 | Slimes |
| 52 | AndrewPenguin | 3-3-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 53 | Krim | 3-3-0 | Slimes |
| 54 | NewName | 3-4-0 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 55 | ClosetNerd | 3-3-0 | Slimes |
| 56 | Jozay | 3-3-0 | Slimes |
| 57 | Utility | 3-4-0 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 58 | Deathatwar | 3-4-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 59 | Axelia | 3-4-0 | Wind Astra Cleric |
| 60 | Wolfaith | 3-4-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 61 | Panda | 3-3-0 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 62 | WildShiba | 2-3-2 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 63 | Nerakk | 2-3-2 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 64 | ArkInBlack | 2-3-2 | Wind Astra Arisanna |
| 65 | Seamus317 | 2-4-1 | Fire Slimes |
| 66 | 925 | 2-4-1 | Wind Diana |
| 67 | ColePumphrey | 2-2-1 | Slimes |
| 68 | Mito | 2-3-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 69 | Heartbeat | 2-4-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 70 | Pomeranian | 2-4-1 | Slimes |
| 71 | JohnCame | 2-4-1 | Wind Beast |
| 72 | mist666999 | 2-4-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 73 | ChunandRice | 1-4-1 | Fire Astra Cleric |
| 74 | Anthony0313 | 2-3-0 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 75 | Weiyee | 2-5-0 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 76 | Jericho | 2-3-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 77 | Vipirius | 2-3-0 | Wind Slice & Dice |
| 78 | Mutsuki | 2-5-0 | Water Astra Arisanna |
| 79 | Shoku | 1-5-0 | Wind Umbra Diana |
| 80 | Kevin500 | 2-3-0 | Fire Slimes |
| 81 | WeestWind | 1-4-2 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 82 | Jianbah | 1-2-1 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 83 | Jaimaralin | 1-5-1 | Water Allies |
| 84 | ic0nick | 1-5-1 | Slimes |
| 85 | Isaac1 | 1-4-1 | Wind Allies |
| 86 | Kingkapamilya | 1-5-1 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 87 | Kaiel | 1-3-0 | Fire Crux Merlin |
| 88 | BlinkW | 1-4-0 | Water Allies |
| 89 | Remetic | 1-3-0 | Slimes |
| 90 | Firmament | 1-3-0 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 91 | Trxz | 1-3-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 92 | LucidMarauder | 1-3-0 | Slimes |
| 93 | Pac | 1-4-0 | Slimes |
| 94 | Nishi | 0-3-1 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 95 | RedMayhem | 0-2-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 96 | AEtherbeat | 0-3-0 | Fire Arcane |
| 97 | Thevikeman | 0-3-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 98 | r3Tro | 0-3-0 | Wind Allies |
| 99 | NotNull | 0-6-0 | Wind Allies |
| 100 | Fox | 0-3-0 | Wind Neos |