← Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 20.2% | 21 | 10-9-2 | 52.4% | 52.0% | 52.0% | +0.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 13.5% | 13 | 7-5-1 | 57.7% | 55.9% | 53.5% | +1.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.0% | 15 | 9-6-0 | 60.0% | 57.9% | 58.3% | +3.4 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 45.2% | -2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 49.4% | -0.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.4% | +3.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 30.0% | -12.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.9 |
| Rogue | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.8% | +2.1 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -22.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Wind Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Focused Flames, Disintegrate. Losers more often ran: Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Flame-Rune Swordsman, Cremation Ritual.
Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Increasing Danger | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sudden Steel | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rai, Spellcrafter | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Embersong | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Erupting Rhapsody | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |