← Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 20.2% | 26 | 14-10-2 | 57.7% | 56.7% | 56.2% | +2.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 13.5% | 20 | 5-14-1 | 27.5% | 31.2% | 28.4% | -8.3 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 11 | 6-4-1 | 59.1% | 56.7% | 59.9% | +4.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 15 | 6-9-0 | 40.0% | 42.1% | 41.7% | -3.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 55.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.9% | 11 | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -5.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 27.3% | -16.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 7 | 4-1-2 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 66.7% | +8.4 |
| Rogue | 3.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 73.6% | +17.6 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.0% | -15.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.0% | +19.2 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.9% | +6.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.4 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.7% | +10.3 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
Decklists · 18 from this event
The 18 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Chalice of Blood, Water Resonance Bauble, Spirit of Serene Water. Losers more often ran: Stalwart Shieldmate, Orb of Choking Fumes, Uther, Illustrious King.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oasis Trading Post | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Meltdown | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ignited Stab | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Uncover the plot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |