← Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Fire LorraineTier 3
at Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
decks
2
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.5%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1292
· median 1292
· range 1248–1335
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1200
Q3 1425
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 20.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 13.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.1% | -16.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
