← Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
decks
2
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
11-9-0
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
56.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1392
· median 1392
· range 1106–1679
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1200
Q3 1425
1736
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 20.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.2% | +12.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 13.5% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 38.8% | -6.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.9% | -4.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.0 |
| Rogue | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.6% | -26.2 |
| Wind Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
