← Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 7 | 7.5% | 44 | 69.3% | 59.9% | 59.3% | 55.2% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 2.2% | 14 | 67.9% | 54.9% | 57.4% | 53.5% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 65.4% | 56.7% | 56.3% | 1320 | — |
| 4 | Water Penguin Mill | 13 | 14.0% | 76 | 55.9% | 51.3% | 53.8% | 51.3% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 7 | 7.5% | 49 | 59.2% | 49.8% | 53.7% | 48.9% | 1438 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 57.4% | 53.2% | 51.3% | 1251 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 5 | 5.4% | 35 | 54.3% | 58.1% | 52.2% | 54.5% | 1278 | — |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 3 | 3.2% | 15 | 60.0% | 54.5% | 51.7% | 52.1% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 3.2% | 20 | 55.0% | 58.4% | 49.6% | 52.6% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.2% | 13 | 50.0% | 45.0% | 49.4% | 47.3% | 1348 | — |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 6 | 6.5% | 34 | 47.1% | 50.2% | 49.4% | 50.7% | 1277 | — |
| 12 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 3.2% | 16 | 43.8% | 53.3% | 48.5% | 51.1% | 1335 | — |
| 13 | Water Allies | 4 | 4.3% | 24 | 54.2% | 55.8% | 47.6% | 49.4% | 1286 | — |
| 14 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 35.7% | 42.7% | 47.2% | 48.1% | 1279 | — |
| 15 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.6% | 47.1% | 46.5% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Kongming | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 46.6% | 49.6% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Slimes | 11 | 11.8% | 49 | 44.9% | 50.7% | 46.2% | 49.1% | 1246 | — |
| 18 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 2.2% | 12 | 37.5% | 42.1% | 45.9% | 45.9% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.9% | 45.9% | 44.7% | 1149 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Kongming | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.9% | 42.7% | 43.5% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Beast | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 35.7% | 42.8% | 41.8% | 43.1% | 1058 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Neos | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.8% | 41.7% | 42.9% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Tera Kongming | 5 | 5.4% | 13 | 7.7% | 28.2% | 41.2% | 43.7% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Water Tera Mage | 3 | 3.2% | 9 | 11.1% | 28.9% | 40.2% | 42.2% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 32.7% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1137 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.3% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Water Kongming | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.1% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Arisanna | 1 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 32.7% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Fire Exia | 4 | 4.3% | 11 | 27.3% | 44.0% | 38.9% | 44.8% | 1195 | ↓ low |