← 20241229 RL

Water Astra ClericTier 2

at 20241229 RL

decks
1 (1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0% avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
55.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1568 · median 1568 · range 1568–1568 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1016 Q1 1227 Q3 1382 1694
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 19.4% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 52.3% +2.2
Fire Crux Mage 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.4% -15.4
Water Ravishing Mill 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.0
Water Penguin Mill 9.7% 0
Wind Allies 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.3% +6.8
Wind Astra Cleric 8.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 5.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.4% +5.5
Fire Aggro 4.2% 0
Fire Slimes 2.8% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.1% -22.3
Fire Exia 1.4% 0
Water Allies 1.4% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.4% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.4% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.4% 0
Wind Neos 1.4% 0
Wind Overlord 1.4% 0
Wind Silvie 1.4% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/14470/archetypes/Water Astra Cleric