20241229 RL

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	14	19.4%	26-31-7	46.1%	51.2%	46.5%	49.5%	1244	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	8	11.1%	20-18-4	52.4%	52.7%	52.8%	52.8%	1306	—
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	8	11.1%	25-16-6	59.6%	56.0%	52.2%	51.3%	1336	—
4		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	7	9.7%	12-17-3	42.2%	34.7%	47.1%	42.7%	1368	↑ top
5		Wind Allies	Tier 1	6	8.3%	19-11-3	62.1%	56.6%	55.9%	53.6%	1350	—
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	6	8.3%	19-16-5	53.8%	50.9%	51.5%	51.1%	1287	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	4	5.6%	8-10-2	45.0%	50.1%	48.0%	49.3%	1257	—
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	5.6%	6-13-2	33.3%	40.4%	46.6%	48.8%	1279	—
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	4.2%	11-6-1	63.9%	56.3%	56.5%	54.5%	1311	—
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.8%	0-5-2	14.3%	34.4%	42.8%	44.6%	1322	—
11		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	62.2%	48.4%	50.5%	1229	↓ low
12		Fire Exia	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.4%	42.9%	45.4%	1237	↓ low
13		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	59.7%	51.5%	52.8%	1352	—
14		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	48.0%	55.0%	51.2%	1568	↑ top
15		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	55.5%	49.1%	48.9%	1338	—
16		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	1.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	58.6%	49.1%	53.3%	1220	↓ low
17		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.7%	52.3%	53.0%	1209	↓ low
18		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-4-2	28.6%	30.6%	44.8%	42.1%	1389	↑ top
19		Wind Overlord	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	34.7%	40.0%	43.3%	1076	↓ low
20		Wind Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.5%	46.7%	48.1%	1543	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 14 decks · 19.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 8 decks · 11.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 8 decks · 11.1%
• Water Penguin Mill 7 decks · 9.7%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 8.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 6 decks · 8.3%
• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 1.4%