SEA Nationals at Agora Hobby

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 2	13	16.2%	33-42-5	44.4%	46.0%	45.2%	46.0%	1310	—
2		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	10	12.5%	30-30-4	50.0%	49.8%	52.0%	51.8%	1444	↑ top
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	10	12.5%	33-25-8	56.1%	57.3%	54.9%	55.9%	1406	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	8	10.0%	15-25-2	38.1%	39.9%	42.9%	43.2%	1311	—
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	8	10.0%	28-16-6	62.0%	57.7%	52.9%	50.4%	1382	—
6		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	6	7.5%	29-14-3	66.3%	66.0%	57.9%	58.2%	1282	↓ low
7	?	Rogue	Tier 1	5	6.2%	14-14-4	50.0%	50.5%	51.7%	52.0%	1340	—
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	5.0%	9-9-2	50.0%	50.1%	50.7%	51.2%	1368	—
9		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	3	3.8%	6-11-1	36.1%	36.8%	44.0%	43.3%	1241	↓ low
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	2.5%	8-8-0	50.0%	49.3%	48.0%	47.4%	1342	—
11		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.5%	8-6-0	57.1%	55.7%	52.0%	52.0%	1278	↓ low
12		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.5%	3-9-0	25.0%	28.4%	40.5%	39.1%	1235	↓ low
13		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.6%	51.0%	49.6%	1378	—
14		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	1.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.7%	50.7%	50.7%	1633	↑ top
15		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-5-0	16.7%	29.3%	42.6%	42.1%	1468	↑ top
16		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	1.2%	2-3-1	41.7%	45.3%	51.0%	51.4%	1418	↑ top
17		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.4%	51.9%	52.3%	1484	↑ top
18		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	37.8%	45.8%	44.7%	1219	↓ low
19		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.7%	50.6%	51.7%	1145	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 13 decks · 16.2%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 10 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 10 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Aggro 8 decks · 10.0%
• Water Allies 8 decks · 10.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 6 decks · 7.5%
• ? Rogue 5 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Erupting 3 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Lorraine 2 decks · 2.5%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.2%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.2%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.2%