← Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 11 | 10.2% | 71 | 64.8% | 61.2% | 58.8% | 57.6% | 1322 | — |
| 2 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 71.4% | 63.4% | 58.5% | 57.8% | 1355 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 7 | 6.5% | 40 | 62.5% | 54.4% | 56.9% | 53.2% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 8 | 7.4% | 53 | 60.4% | 58.1% | 56.1% | 55.2% | 1343 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 71.4% | 65.5% | 55.4% | 55.7% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 42.9% | 47.4% | 53.4% | 53.8% | 1127 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 64.3% | 59.0% | 53.2% | 53.3% | 1668 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Erupting | 10 | 9.3% | 57 | 50.9% | 50.8% | 52.8% | 52.6% | 1309 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 57.1% | 54.6% | 52.7% | 53.1% | 1500 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Aggro | 6 | 5.6% | 37 | 51.4% | 53.1% | 51.2% | 52.5% | 1273 | — |
| 11 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 2.8% | 14 | 42.9% | 45.7% | 50.5% | 50.6% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Neos | 5 | 4.6% | 17 | 35.3% | 39.5% | 48.6% | 48.9% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 57.1% | 57.4% | 47.6% | 49.7% | 1267 | — |
| 14 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 57.1% | 62.6% | 47.2% | 50.4% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Allies | 27 | 25.0% | 132 | 46.2% | 46.6% | 47.2% | 47.5% | 1245 | — |
| 16 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 1.9% | 8 | 50.0% | 48.8% | 46.6% | 47.1% | 1305 | — |
| 17 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 2.8% | 19 | 39.5% | 41.5% | 46.2% | 46.1% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 28.6% | 41.0% | 45.5% | 47.1% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Zander | 1 | 0.9% | 7 | 42.9% | 47.2% | 44.9% | 45.8% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 10 | 9.3% | 41 | 36.6% | 39.4% | 40.7% | 42.3% | 1283 | — |
| 21 | Water Astra Cleric | 6 | 5.6% | 30 | 30.0% | 36.1% | 40.2% | 42.3% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Neos | 2 | 1.9% | 6 | 0.0% | 22.5% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1231 | — |