← 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 25 | 13.9% | 173 | 65.0% | 59.1% | 58.7% | 55.1% | 1344 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 19 | 10.6% | 130 | 60.4% | 60.1% | 55.8% | 55.6% | 1308 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 2 | 1.1% | 17 | 61.8% | 56.6% | 54.0% | 51.8% | 1217 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.6% | 8 | 62.5% | 61.0% | 52.5% | 53.3% | 1298 | — |
| 5 | Water Diana | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 44.4% | 55.4% | 52.0% | 53.9% | 1491 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 21 | 11.7% | 144 | 56.9% | 57.4% | 51.8% | 52.6% | 1301 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 8 | 4.4% | 65 | 56.2% | 59.3% | 51.6% | 53.7% | 1316 | — |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 10 | 5.6% | 72 | 55.6% | 57.5% | 51.0% | 52.5% | 1292 | — |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 2.8% | 36 | 52.8% | 52.1% | 50.2% | 50.7% | 1316 | — |
| 10 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 66.7% | 61.9% | 50.0% | 51.1% | 1333 | — |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 1.1% | 16 | 56.2% | 53.9% | 49.9% | 50.6% | 1475 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 44.4% | 45.8% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 1311 | — |
| 13 | Wind Beast | 2 | 1.1% | 16 | 50.0% | 42.5% | 49.6% | 46.5% | 1310 | — |
| 14 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 0.6% | 8 | 62.5% | 63.0% | 49.4% | 53.3% | 1502 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 0.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 49.3% | 49.7% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Aggro | 9 | 5.0% | 68 | 47.8% | 49.1% | 49.2% | 50.1% | 1263 | — |
| 17 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 44.4% | 37.1% | 48.4% | 44.7% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Wind Razorgale | 4 | 2.2% | 28 | 39.3% | 42.0% | 47.9% | 48.0% | 1365 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.6% | 8 | 43.8% | 30.3% | 47.7% | 42.2% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Luxem Tamer | 3 | 1.7% | 19 | 44.7% | 39.3% | 47.1% | 45.3% | 1315 | — |
| 21 | Water Penguin Mill | 4 | 2.2% | 34 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 46.2% | 46.1% | 1348 | — |
| 22 | Water Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 38.9% | 39.2% | 45.5% | 45.0% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Water Ravishing Mill | 5 | 2.8% | 37 | 50.0% | 46.3% | 45.4% | 44.8% | 1372 | ↑ top |
| 24 | Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4 | 2.2% | 31 | 32.3% | 39.1% | 45.2% | 46.0% | 1314 | — |
| 25 | Wind Astra Cleric | 7 | 3.9% | 50 | 47.0% | 48.2% | 44.8% | 46.0% | 1308 | — |
| 26 | Fire Exia | 10 | 5.6% | 72 | 44.4% | 44.9% | 44.7% | 45.4% | 1300 | — |
| 27 | Fire Seiryuu | 5 | 2.8% | 33 | 37.9% | 38.3% | 44.4% | 45.0% | 1249 | — |
| 28 | Fire Crux Mage | 9 | 5.0% | 59 | 42.4% | 42.4% | 44.1% | 44.4% | 1266 | — |
| 29 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 55.5% | 44.1% | 48.4% | 1225 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Slimes | 2 | 1.1% | 13 | 23.1% | 37.7% | 43.9% | 45.9% | 1052 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 1.1% | 16 | 37.5% | 45.8% | 43.6% | 46.3% | 1133 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 0.6% | 9 | 38.9% | 45.4% | 43.4% | 45.3% | 1249 | — |
| 33 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 1.1% | 19 | 31.6% | 39.9% | 43.1% | 44.9% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 34 | Fire Triskit | 1 | 0.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.5% | 43.0% | 45.5% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 35 | Water Kongming | 1 | 0.6% | 8 | 12.5% | 30.0% | 42.8% | 43.7% | 1091 | ↓ low |
| 36 | Water Tera Cleric | 2 | 1.1% | 17 | 44.1% | 39.4% | 41.7% | 40.5% | 1342 | — |
| 37 | Wind Byakko | 6 | 3.3% | 36 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 41.6% | 41.4% | 1287 | — |
| 38 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 0.6% | 4 | 0.0% | 28.4% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 945 | ↓ low |
| 39 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 1.7% | 16 | 37.5% | 42.6% | 39.8% | 42.2% | 1335 | — |
| 40 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 4 | 2.2% | 31 | 33.9% | 44.2% | 39.5% | 44.5% | 1188 | ↓ low |
| 41 | Water Neos | 3 | 1.7% | 22 | 27.3% | 33.5% | 37.8% | 39.8% | 1215 | ↓ low |