← National-SEA 2025

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at National-SEA 2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Water Crux Lorraine
61.2%
0.4% share · 14 matches
↑ top
1st
Wind Luxem Zander
62.0%
2.3% share · 65 matches
↑ top
3rd
Fire Luxem Assassin
58.7%
3.4% share · 90 matches
↑ top
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Luxem Zander 6 2.3% 65 66.9% 61.6% 62.0% 59.6% 1497 ↑ top
2 Water Crux Lorraine 1 0.4% 14 71.4% 68.2% 61.2% 61.9% 1441 ↑ top
3 Fire Luxem Assassin 9 3.4% 90 68.3% 67.3% 58.7% 58.5% 1443 ↑ top
4 Wind Byakko 1 0.4% 11 59.1% 65.1% 55.6% 59.4% 1563 ↑ top
5 Wind Allies 36 13.6% 274 53.6% 51.5% 53.2% 52.2% 1374 —
6 Water Allies 6 2.3% 53 55.7% 51.9% 52.8% 50.6% 1347 —
7 Wind Crux Lorraine 2 0.8% 18 52.8% 51.7% 52.0% 51.8% 1391 —
8 Water Genbu 18 6.8% 165 53.3% 54.0% 51.9% 52.4% 1403 —
9 Wind Shadowstrike 38 14.3% 289 49.7% 50.4% 50.9% 51.5% 1373 —
10 Wind Astra Cleric 16 6.0% 128 51.2% 46.7% 50.9% 47.7% 1380 —
11 Wind Exia 3 1.1% 20 50.0% 40.9% 50.8% 47.0% 1547 ↑ top
12 Wind Umbra Tristan 1 0.4% 9 44.4% 47.5% 49.4% 50.5% 1220 ↓ low
13 Water Fractal 50 18.9% 365 49.9% 47.3% 48.5% 46.4% 1408 —
14 Wind Luxem Assassin 2 0.8% 16 37.5% 46.0% 48.4% 51.8% 1281 ↓ low
15 Fire Aggro 29 10.9% 230 48.5% 54.1% 48.0% 52.5% 1351 —
16 Fire Crux Hybrid 5 1.9% 46 50.0% 49.4% 47.8% 48.0% 1359 —
17 Fire Suzaku 9 3.4% 71 42.3% 49.0% 47.2% 50.8% 1324 ↓ low
18 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 0.4% 6 33.3% 31.9% 46.1% 43.7% 1320 ↓ low
19 Fire Cinderbloom Combo 4 1.5% 30 41.7% 32.4% 45.2% 40.0% 1427 —
20 Fire Firebloom Burn 3 1.1% 30 40.0% 50.5% 45.1% 49.3% 1289 ↓ low
21 Fire Rai 1 0.4% 9 33.3% 36.4% 44.3% 43.1% 1418 —
22 Water Neos 2 0.8% 12 41.7% 54.3% 44.2% 48.5% 1263 ↓ low
23 Water Dawn of Ashes 2 0.8% 14 39.3% 44.0% 44.1% 45.5% 1313 ↓ low
24 Water Penguin Mill 1 0.4% 5 20.0% 24.6% 43.6% 40.0% 1429 —
25 Wind Razorgale 2 0.8% 8 25.0% 36.5% 43.4% 43.8% 1238 ↓ low
26 Water Luxem Assassin 3 1.1% 22 36.4% 26.8% 43.0% 37.7% 1459 ↑ top
27 Wind Slice & Dice 1 0.4% 9 27.8% 34.1% 42.9% 43.9% 1233 ↓ low
28 Wind Arcane 1 0.4% 9 27.8% 46.6% 42.6% 46.1% 1095 ↓ low
29 Water Crux Mage 1 0.4% 6 33.3% 44.0% 41.3% 42.0% 1338 —
30 Wind Seiryuu 9 3.4% 62 35.5% 41.6% 39.3% 41.7% 1336 —
31 Fire Crux Merlin 2 0.8% 11 27.3% 36.7% 38.4% 39.2% 1337 —
32 Water Byakko 1 0.4% 7 14.3% 36.5% 36.3% 39.5% 1117 ↓ low
33 Fire Crux Mage 1 0.4% 5 20.0% 44.7% 35.9% 41.3% 1208 ↓ low
34 Fire Arcane 1 0.4% 5 20.0% 31.5% 33.5% 33.8% 1471 ↑ top