← OCE Nationals 2025

Fire ExiaTier 2

at OCE Nationals 2025

decks
2 (1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 6-8-2
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8% avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
48.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1396 · median 1396 · range 1383–1408 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1305 Q3 1495 1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 16.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.7% +21.9
Water Fractal 14.5% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 54.2% +2.7
Wind Seiryuu 12.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.1% -14.3
Wind Allies 11.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 60.4% +7.7
Water Genbu 8.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.9% -12.6
Wind Astra Cleric 8.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.5
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 45.8% -4.1
Wind Luxem Zander 4.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.2% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.2% 0
Water Penguin Mill 1.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.8% 0
Water Allies 0.8% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.8% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 0.8% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/25112/archetypes/Fire Exia