← OCE Nationals 2025

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at OCE Nationals 2025

decks
10 (8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
74 30-32-12
overall winrate
48.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6% avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
49.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1409 · median 1401 · range 1226–1685 (10 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1305 Q3 1495 1702
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 10% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 16.1% 15 7-6-2 53.3% 52.6% 51.7% +0.7
Water Fractal 14.5% 19 7-7-5 50.0% 50.0% 48.0% -0.8
Wind Seiryuu 12.1% 6 2-3-1 41.7% 45.0% 39.9% -5.4
Wind Allies 11.3% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 65.6% +8.3
Water Genbu 8.9% 8 0-7-1 6.2% 20.8% 15.9% -16.4
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 5 3-1-1 70.0% 61.1% 65.4% +8.8
Wind Luxem Zander 4.8% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 76.1% +16.7
Fire Suzaku 4.0% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 38.3% -8.8
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.2% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 39.2% -8.1
Water Ravishing Mill 3.2% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 39.5% -7.8
Fire Exia 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.5
Water Penguin Mill 1.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.7% -14.9
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.8% 0
Water Allies 0.8% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.8% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 0.8% 0
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest -1.00 0 2 0
Harvest Herbs +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 2 0
Cleansing Reunion -0.50 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm -0.50 0 1 1
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 0
Astral Seal -0.50 0 1 1
Beseech the Winds -0.50 0 1 1
Chalice of Blood +0.50 1 0 0
Meteor Strike -0.50 0 1 1
Nullifying Mirror +0.50 1 0 1
Scatter Essence -0.50 0 1 1
Staggering Strike +0.50 1 0 0
Scout the Land +0.50 1 0 0
Dawn's Reversal +0.50 1 0 0
Gentle Respite +0.50 1 0 0
Prima Materia +0.50 1 0 0
Lunar Seer -0.50 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 0
Regenerate +0.00 1 1 0
Nascent Barrier +0.00 1 1 0
Indolent Leisure +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/25112/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric