Wind Luxem ZanderTier 1
at OCE Nationals 2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.1% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -4.6 |
| Water Fractal | 14.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.6% | -4.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 10 | 7-0-3 | 85.0% | 75.0% | 65.4% | +6.9 |
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.3% | +2.4 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +3.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.1% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 23.9% | -16.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.5% | -24.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 33.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 58.0% | +5.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Viridian Protective Trinket, Cry for Help, Turbo Charge. Losers more often ran: Scout the Land, Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncover the Plot | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Emergent Dagger | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Sirocco Operative | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gleaming Cut | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 |