← NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.5% | 15 | 8-7-0 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 56.9% | +2.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.4% | +5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.2% | -10.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Allies | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.4% | +6.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.4% | -10.2 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rile the Abyss | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Relic of Dancing Embers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Suited Trickery | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastsoul Visage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Demolition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Shenju | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fabled Emerald Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Primal Whip | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incandescent Reliquary | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Royal Ordinance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |