← NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.5% | 10 | 4-4-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suited | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Allies | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Astra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Horned Knight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Displace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Byakko's Command | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |