← NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.5% | 33 | 18-13-2 | 57.6% | 56.8% | 51.8% | +0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 10 | 7-3-0 | 70.0% | 64.3% | 59.8% | +4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.6% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 37.2% | -7.4 |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 37.7% | -6.2 |
| Fire Suited | 5.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 58.7% | +5.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.8% | +10.3 |
| Wind Allies | 4.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.6 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.4 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Turbo Charge. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand.
Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Disorienting Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |