← Card's village Hong Kong regional
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Card's village Hong Kong regional.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 4.0% | 22 | 68.2% | 55.4% | 55.4% | 50.8% | 1329 | — |
| 2 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 54.2% | 54.7% | 51.9% | 1233 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 2.0% | 12 | 50.0% | 44.7% | 54.4% | 53.3% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 6 | 6.0% | 36 | 61.1% | 62.5% | 54.3% | 55.1% | 1275 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 7 | 7.0% | 40 | 53.8% | 54.4% | 53.4% | 53.7% | 1276 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 52.9% | 52.4% | 1333 | — |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 4 | 4.0% | 20 | 50.0% | 48.6% | 52.1% | 50.8% | 1274 | — |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 11 | 11.0% | 56 | 52.7% | 55.6% | 51.4% | 53.0% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 5 | 5.0% | 32 | 57.8% | 51.9% | 51.1% | 48.9% | 1337 | — |
| 10 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 58.3% | 58.0% | 50.9% | 52.4% | 1259 | — |
| 11 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 32.3% | 49.9% | 46.0% | 1311 | — |
| 12 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 2.0% | 11 | 45.5% | 42.7% | 49.7% | 47.1% | 1268 | — |
| 13 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 2.0% | 11 | 50.0% | 42.5% | 49.0% | 45.9% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Water Umbra Guardian | 5 | 5.0% | 25 | 56.0% | 54.0% | 47.5% | 48.1% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Aetherwing | 8 | 8.0% | 42 | 42.9% | 54.4% | 45.9% | 51.2% | 1236 | — |
| 16 | Water Allies | 2 | 2.0% | 7 | 35.7% | 44.1% | 45.7% | 46.8% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Crux Mage | 13 | 13.0% | 64 | 43.8% | 43.8% | 44.7% | 44.9% | 1259 | — |
| 18 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 41.7% | 47.8% | 44.3% | 47.2% | 1338 | — |
| 19 | Fire Slimes | 3 | 3.0% | 15 | 33.3% | 41.8% | 44.3% | 46.7% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 37.9% | 44.2% | 44.9% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Shadowstrike | 7 | 7.0% | 37 | 35.1% | 39.4% | 41.9% | 43.6% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.9% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1186 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Suited | 3 | 3.0% | 14 | 14.3% | 23.9% | 38.7% | 38.9% | 1155 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 44.5% | 38.6% | 43.3% | 1308 | — |
| 25 | Fire Crux Merlin | 2 | 2.0% | 7 | 7.1% | 25.4% | 38.4% | 38.5% | 1140 | ↓ low |