Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at DX DTR Regionals Singapore
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 47.8% | -1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.2% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 37.4% | -8.1 |
| Water Genbu | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.2 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.3 |
| Fire Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Genbu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashwick Cremator | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Explosive Fractal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forgelight Scepter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diao Chan, Dreaming Wish | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sigil of Budding Embers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Fury | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |