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Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2

at DX DTR Regionals Singapore

decks
5 (2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31 14-16-1
overall winrate
46.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.5% avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
47.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1287 · median 1305 · range 1198–1380 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
905 Q1 1205 Q3 1376 1633
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 14.6% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 67.3% +9.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 14.1% 8 2-6-0 25.0% 33.3% 43.9% -2.9
Wind Seiryuu 10.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.4% -18.5
Fire Aggro 6.6% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 57.1% +4.6
Water Aetherwing 6.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.2
Fire Suzaku 5.2% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 69.0% +12.2
Water Genbu 5.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.2% 0
Wind Razorgale 4.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.0% +20.8
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.8% 0
Wind Allies 2.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.2
Wind Astra Cleric 2.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.1% -11.4
Water Allies 2.3% 0
Fire Neos 1.4% 0
Fire Oblation 1.4% 0
Water Astra Ranger 1.4% 0
Wind Arcane 1.4% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.4% 0
Fire Slimes 0.9% 0
Fire Suited 0.9% 0
Water Fractal 0.9% 0
Fire Aetherwing 0.5% 0
Fire Exia 0.5% 0
Fire Exia Jin 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +12.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 0.5% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 0.5% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 0.5% 0
Horse and Taxes 0.5% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 0.5% 0
Wind Diana 0.5% 0
Wind Genbu 0.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.2% +3.5
Wind Lorraine 0.5% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 0.5% 0
Wind Slimes 0.5% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card-quantity differences observed in the mirrors — every mirror used an identical decklist.

JSON: /api/events/34435/archetypes/Wind Wakeup Combo