Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at DX DTR Regionals Singapore
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.6% | 8 | 4-2-2 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 62.3% | +5.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.1% | 8 | 1-4-3 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 43.8% | -3.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 51.4% | +0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Genbu | 5.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.0% | -5.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.3% | -5.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Fractal | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Wind Genbu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Displace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sharpen Blade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |