← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 0.7% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.9% | 57.8% | 60.3% | 1217 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 3 | 2.2% | 23 | 67.4% | 58.8% | 57.5% | 55.6% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 8 | 5.8% | 53 | 62.3% | 60.8% | 56.4% | 56.4% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 18 | 12.9% | 117 | 57.3% | 53.0% | 52.5% | 51.1% | 1363 | — |
| 5 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 1.4% | 14 | 53.6% | 48.2% | 52.2% | 51.2% | 1297 | — |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 0.7% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.1% | 52.2% | 50.6% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 4 | 2.9% | 30 | 51.7% | 51.7% | 52.0% | 52.0% | 1326 | — |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 11 | 7.9% | 63 | 54.8% | 53.7% | 51.9% | 52.2% | 1367 | — |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 1.4% | 11 | 54.5% | 63.9% | 51.7% | 55.9% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 0.7% | 7 | 57.1% | 52.9% | 50.8% | 49.6% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 11 | 7.9% | 69 | 49.3% | 48.5% | 50.7% | 50.8% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 0.7% | 7 | 57.1% | 61.9% | 50.2% | 54.5% | 1329 | — |
| 13 | Water Aetherwing | 7 | 5.0% | 49 | 55.1% | 52.4% | 50.1% | 49.5% | 1397 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 1.4% | 16 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 1240 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 0.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.3% | 49.7% | 47.3% | 1522 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Suited | 3 | 2.2% | 19 | 39.5% | 44.8% | 49.1% | 49.5% | 1249 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Aggro | 11 | 7.9% | 56 | 45.5% | 47.9% | 49.0% | 48.7% | 1294 | — |
| 18 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 1.4% | 12 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 48.9% | 48.7% | 1297 | — |
| 19 | Fire Suzaku | 11 | 7.9% | 74 | 48.6% | 46.9% | 48.6% | 47.4% | 1321 | — |
| 20 | Wind Shadowstrike | 10 | 7.2% | 63 | 46.0% | 48.7% | 47.7% | 49.8% | 1301 | — |
| 21 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 1.4% | 13 | 53.8% | 48.9% | 47.2% | 45.9% | 1369 | — |
| 22 | Water Allies | 6 | 4.3% | 37 | 43.2% | 40.4% | 46.8% | 45.3% | 1340 | — |
| 23 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 0.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 46.1% | 49.0% | 1136 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 1 | 0.7% | 8 | 37.5% | 35.8% | 46.0% | 44.9% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 25 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 1.4% | 11 | 36.4% | 40.4% | 44.9% | 45.4% | 1342 | — |
| 26 | Water Fractal | 6 | 4.3% | 36 | 40.3% | 45.6% | 44.6% | 45.8% | 1249 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 0.7% | 8 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 44.0% | 48.5% | 1301 | — |
| 28 | Water Umbra Guardian | 4 | 2.9% | 20 | 35.0% | 43.7% | 43.8% | 46.8% | 1279 | — |
| 29 | Water Neos | 1 | 0.7% | 6 | 16.7% | 39.0% | 43.7% | 47.2% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Fire Exia | 3 | 2.2% | 20 | 35.0% | 39.1% | 43.4% | 45.3% | 1251 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Slimes | 1 | 0.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.5% | 42.0% | 45.9% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 32 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 0.7% | 8 | 31.2% | 47.8% | 41.3% | 46.1% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Wind Vanitas | 1 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.9% | 40.0% | 43.6% | 1130 | ↓ low |