← TripleTactics TCG PTM Regionals 2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at TripleTactics TCG PTM Regionals 2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 11 | 4.5% | 70 | 61.4% | 49.2% | 57.0% | 50.7% | 1358 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 0.4% | 9 | 77.8% | 60.7% | 56.3% | 52.8% | 1320 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 12 | 4.9% | 84 | 63.7% | 62.9% | 55.8% | 56.1% | 1310 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 21 | 8.5% | 142 | 56.7% | 52.0% | 54.6% | 51.5% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 8 | 3.2% | 59 | 56.8% | 53.3% | 53.7% | 52.3% | 1302 | — |
| 6 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 0.8% | 16 | 62.5% | 57.2% | 53.4% | 52.8% | 1403 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 17 | 6.9% | 115 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 52.9% | 54.1% | 1272 | — |
| 8 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 0.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 52.5% | 49.1% | 1342 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 3 | 1.2% | 22 | 63.6% | 68.6% | 52.4% | 55.2% | 1254 | — |
| 10 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 43.8% | 48.2% | 52.2% | 52.7% | 1277 | — |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 9 | 3.6% | 68 | 55.9% | 54.9% | 51.9% | 51.9% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Fractal | 2 | 0.8% | 16 | 68.8% | 51.9% | 51.5% | 49.8% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Exia | 4 | 1.6% | 25 | 46.0% | 32.7% | 51.4% | 45.3% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 0.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 45.2% | 51.2% | 49.5% | 1253 | — |
| 15 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 12 | 4.9% | 78 | 53.2% | 50.3% | 51.1% | 49.8% | 1331 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Wind Allies | 3 | 1.2% | 17 | 52.9% | 49.4% | 50.9% | 50.0% | 1228 | — |
| 17 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 6 | 2.4% | 43 | 51.2% | 58.8% | 50.5% | 53.7% | 1299 | — |
| 18 | Wind Razorgale | 4 | 1.6% | 32 | 48.4% | 49.2% | 50.4% | 49.5% | 1285 | — |
| 19 | Wind Diana | 1 | 0.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 54.4% | 49.8% | 51.5% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Exia | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 56.2% | 66.7% | 49.5% | 54.6% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Crux Merlin | 2 | 0.8% | 11 | 40.9% | 32.6% | 49.4% | 45.0% | 1227 | — |
| 22 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 0.8% | 11 | 36.4% | 45.3% | 49.1% | 50.5% | 1140 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 0.8% | 14 | 50.0% | 43.4% | 49.0% | 46.6% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 24 | Fire Aetherwing | 5 | 2.0% | 35 | 57.1% | 57.4% | 49.0% | 49.9% | 1297 | — |
| 25 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 11 | 4.5% | 72 | 45.8% | 46.4% | 48.6% | 48.6% | 1239 | — |
| 26 | Water Genbu | 7 | 2.8% | 46 | 46.7% | 46.7% | 48.5% | 48.7% | 1250 | — |
| 27 | Water Allies | 5 | 2.0% | 22 | 36.4% | 43.4% | 48.3% | 49.1% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Wind Shadowstrike | 14 | 5.7% | 86 | 48.8% | 53.1% | 48.0% | 50.7% | 1229 | — |
| 29 | Fire Crux Mage | 24 | 9.7% | 160 | 47.5% | 47.6% | 47.6% | 47.2% | 1271 | — |
| 30 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 0.8% | 13 | 38.5% | 46.2% | 47.0% | 48.2% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 0.4% | 6 | 33.3% | 42.6% | 46.9% | 48.4% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Fire Aggro | 22 | 8.9% | 136 | 44.5% | 47.7% | 45.7% | 48.2% | 1233 | — |
| 33 | Fire Triskit | 1 | 0.4% | 4 | 37.5% | 56.3% | 45.0% | 50.8% | 1155 | ↓ low |
| 34 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 0.4% | 9 | 38.9% | 47.1% | 44.9% | 47.1% | 1103 | ↓ low |
| 35 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 37.5% | 35.8% | 44.8% | 42.6% | 1306 | — |
| 36 | Fire Suzaku | 16 | 6.5% | 111 | 43.2% | 46.3% | 44.1% | 46.3% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 37 | Fire Suited | 2 | 0.8% | 12 | 33.3% | 48.6% | 44.0% | 47.5% | 1291 | — |
| 38 | Water Overlord | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 31.2% | 39.4% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1172 | ↓ low |
| 39 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 0.4% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.3% | 43.2% | 44.9% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 40 | Water Chess | 3 | 1.2% | 17 | 29.4% | 35.2% | 43.1% | 44.8% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 41 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 12.5% | 26.5% | 42.4% | 42.0% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 42 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 12.5% | 26.5% | 42.4% | 42.0% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 43 | Wind Chess | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 25.0% | 38.0% | 41.2% | 43.2% | 1078 | ↓ low |
| 44 | Fire Chess | 1 | 0.4% | 9 | 16.7% | 35.8% | 40.1% | 43.9% | 1088 | ↓ low |
| 45 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.6% | 40.0% | 43.4% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 46 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.3% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 47 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 0.4% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.1% | 38.4% | 44.0% | 1149 | ↓ low |
| 48 | Water Crux Assassin | 2 | 0.8% | 7 | 0.0% | 27.1% | 38.1% | 41.9% | 1138 | ↓ low |