HIDEOUT Regionals 7th March 2026

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	21	10.3%	77-37-16	65.4%	60.9%	60.0%	57.1%	1373	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	19	9.3%	60-55-13	52.0%	51.1%	49.7%	49.3%	1324	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	16	7.8%	48-44-14	51.9%	47.3%	50.2%	47.2%	1328	—
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	14	6.9%	44-44-7	50.0%	50.5%	52.5%	52.6%	1306	—
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	14	6.9%	36-48-6	43.3%	44.2%	42.8%	44.0%	1242	—
6		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	11	5.4%	33-34-5	49.3%	53.3%	49.4%	51.4%	1236	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	11	5.4%	35-35-3	50.0%	52.4%	50.4%	51.2%	1229	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	11	5.4%	31-38-7	45.4%	54.4%	45.8%	50.7%	1233	—
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	11	5.4%	30-37-9	45.4%	45.1%	47.7%	47.7%	1296	—
10		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	8	3.9%	29-20-7	58.0%	53.0%	52.7%	49.5%	1288	—
11		Water Genbu	Tier 2	8	3.9%	24-23-5	51.0%	57.6%	48.6%	51.8%	1260	—
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	7	3.4%	19-24-0	44.2%	53.8%	46.9%	51.0%	1192	↓ low
13		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	6	2.9%	12-26-1	32.1%	40.0%	44.2%	45.8%	1218	↓ low
14		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	2.5%	16-18-0	47.1%	44.5%	49.1%	48.2%	1223	↓ low
15		Fire Suited	Tier 3	4	2.0%	11-12-1	47.9%	50.2%	51.2%	52.1%	1269	—
16		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	4	2.0%	13-13-0	50.0%	48.6%	45.7%	46.2%	1311	—
17		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	4	2.0%	19-8-5	67.2%	54.6%	55.4%	51.5%	1443	↑ top
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	4	2.0%	8-15-2	36.0%	33.2%	47.0%	44.8%	1311	—
19		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	4	2.0%	16-12-4	56.2%	50.5%	52.5%	50.5%	1339	—
20		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	3	1.5%	9-9-0	50.0%	51.1%	50.0%	50.6%	1214	↓ low
21		Fire Exia	Tier 3	2	1.0%	3-10-0	23.1%	39.1%	41.6%	44.7%	1128	↓ low
22		Fire Slimes	Tier 3	2	1.0%	4-9-0	30.8%	39.4%	46.4%	47.4%	1156	↓ low
23		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	2	1.0%	6-8-0	42.9%	35.3%	48.0%	45.7%	1323	—
24		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	2	1.0%	4-5-0	44.4%	45.0%	47.6%	47.1%	1189	↓ low
25		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-5-1	31.2%	33.7%	43.9%	42.3%	1225	↓ low
26		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	0.5%	4-4-0	50.0%	43.7%	48.5%	46.9%	1376	↑ top
27		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	57.5%	52.1%	51.9%	1381	↑ top
28		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-5-1	31.2%	37.3%	46.0%	45.8%	1267	—
29		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	55.9%	53.4%	52.8%	1392	↑ top
30		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 3	1	0.5%	0-5-0	0.0%	26.7%	38.0%	40.6%	1115	↓ low
31		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	0.5%	3-2-3	56.2%	52.7%	53.7%	52.9%	1342	↑ top
32		Water Umbra Tristan	Tier 2	1	0.5%	6-2-0	75.0%	59.1%	51.4%	49.1%	1426	↑ top
33		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-3-1	61.1%	64.9%	50.1%	53.1%	1166	↓ low
34		Wind Merlin	Tier 2	1	0.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.0%	50.6%	49.2%	1320	—
35		Wind Nico	Tier 3	1	0.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.9%	40.0%	43.6%	1227	↓ low
36		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	0.5%	4-3-1	56.2%	45.7%	51.1%	48.0%	1423	↑ top
37		Wind Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-4-2	37.5%	44.5%	48.0%	48.8%	1284	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 21 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 19 decks · 9.3%
• Water Fractal 16 decks · 7.8%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 14 decks · 6.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 14 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Aetherwing 11 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Aggro 11 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 11 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 11 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Oblation 8 decks · 3.9%
• Water Genbu 8 decks · 3.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 7 decks · 3.4%
• Fire Suzaku 6 decks · 2.9%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Suited 4 decks · 2.0%
• Horse and Taxes 4 decks · 2.0%
• Water Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 2.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 2.0%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 2.0%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 1.5%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 1.0%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 1.0%
• Wind Byakko 2 decks · 1.0%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 1.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 0.5%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Umbra Tristan 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Merlin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Nico 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Tera Mage 1 deck · 0.5%