Fire Luxem AssassinTier 3
at Taichung Regional
decks
3
(1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
5-11-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.7%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
43.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1224
· median 1225
· range 1088–1360
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1170
Q3 1365
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.5% | -9.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Fractal | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Fire Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Alice | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
