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Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at Taichung Regional

decks
4 (2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27 6-16-5
overall winrate
31.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9% avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
43.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1156 · median 1148 · range 1088–1239 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
945 Q1 1170 Q3 1365 1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 75% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 11.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.6% -11.9
Fire Aetherwing 7.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 55.9% +5.7
Water Aetherwing 6.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -1.0
Water Fractal 6.6% 4 0-4-0 0.0% 25.0% 31.6% -11.8
Wind Seiryuu 6.6% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.0% +1.5
Fire Suzaku 5.4% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.4% -0.4
Fire Aggro 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 0
Water Genbu 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.8
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.0% -10.6
Fire Oblation 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.6% +20.2
Fire Crux Mage 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.8
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.6% -11.9
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 1.8% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 55.2% +5.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.8% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 43.6% -6.1
Wind Allies 1.8% 0
Wind Arcane 1.8% 0
Fire Suited 1.2% 0
Slimes 1.2% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 1.2% 0
Water Slimes 1.2% 0
Wind Byakko 1.2% 0
Wind Exia 1.2% 0
Fire Exia 0.6% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 0.6% 0
Fire Neos 0.6% 0
Fire Umbra Alice 0.6% 0
Horse and Taxes 0.6% 0
Water Alice 0.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 58.1% +7.8
Water Allies 0.6% 0
Water Crux Assassin 0.6% 0
Water Neos 0.6% 0
Wind Chess 0.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 0.6% 0
Wind Jin 0.6% 0
Wind Merlin 0.6% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.6% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Mnemonic Charm -1.00 0 1 0
Royal Oathguard -1.00 0 1 0
Ravaging Tempest -1.00 0 1 0
Noble Dissolution -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence -1.00 0 1 0
Unmake Duality +1.00 1 0 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 1 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass +1.00 1 0 0
Prima Materia -1.00 0 1 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0
The Elysian Astrolabe +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Sovereign Sanctuary +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Necklace of Foresight +1.00 1 0 0
Scry the Stars +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier -1.00 0 1 0
Horticounter -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/45826/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric