← North American National Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at North American National Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 9.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Water Exia | 7.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.3% | +1.3 |
| Water Genbu | 6.9% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.0% | +7.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +1.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 69.5% | +11.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.2 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.0% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.1% | +1.6 |
| Water Fractal | 2.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 41.6% | -5.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 64.0% | +10.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Chess | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.6% | +8.3 |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.2 |
| Water Allies | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Exia | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optical Control | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lavastorm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Lapse | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lightveil Agent | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Elyan, Lustre Loyalty | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |