← North American National Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at North American National Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 9.8% | 12 | 9-2-1 | 79.2% | 71.9% | 75.2% | +10.8 |
| Water Exia | 7.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 43.8% | -4.0 |
| Water Genbu | 6.9% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 50.3% | +0.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +5.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 41.3% | -4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 40.9% | -5.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 37.2% | -7.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.5 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.6% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.0% | -5.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +8.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.6 |
| Water Fractal | 2.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 68.1% | +11.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.9% | -1.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 68.2% | +9.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.1% | -16.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.4% | -17.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.9% | -25.7 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.7% | -24.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.9% | +20.0 |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.7% | -24.4 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.7% | +22.8 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Return to the Archive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gilded Pyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Auspicious Manifestation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Restoring Embers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite Fate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Avatar of Suzaku | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |