← CoreTCG Grand Archive Mercurial Heart Regional Championship
SlimesTier 1
at CoreTCG Grand Archive Mercurial Heart Regional Championship
decks
21
(17.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
103
52-38-13
overall winrate
56.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1266
· median 1220
· range 1005–1678
(21 pilots with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1165
Q3 1374
1736
24% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 70.2% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.4% | 11 | 4-5-2 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 49.2% | -0.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 15 | 8-5-2 | 60.0% | 57.9% | 55.9% | +2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 46.3% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +3.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.8% | 10 | 1-8-1 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 29.0% | -9.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 50.5% | +0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.0% | +3.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.2% | +7.2 |
| Wind Beast | 3.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 66.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 69.2% | +14.3 |
| Water Neos | 2.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.9% | -4.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.3% | +14.7 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 47.2% | -1.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Wind Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
Decklists · 21 from this event
The 21 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 13 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Escape the Wreckage, Blissful Calling, Tariff Ring. Losers more often ran: Verdant Slime, Baby Blue Slime, Slime King.
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 3.8
copies on average,
losing decks 2.8.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 6.
Blissful Calling
Winning decks ran 3.5
copies on average,
losing decks 2.6.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Tariff Ring
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 4.
Nullifying Lantern
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 9.
Gaia's Songbird
Winning decks ran 3.4
copies on average,
losing decks 2.9.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 7.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Winning decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
losing decks 1.2.
Of 13 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 6.
Verdant Slime
Losing decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 7.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 8.
Slime King
Losing decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 7.
Reprogram
Losing decks ran 1.9
copies on average,
winning decks 1.7.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 7.
Beastbond Ears
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 9.
Dungeon Guide
Losing decks ran 3.8
copies on average,
winning decks 3.7.
Of 13 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 10.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.54 | 7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.46 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.38 | 6 | 1 | 6 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.38 | 7 | 2 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.31 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.31 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.23 | 5 | 2 | 6 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.15 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.15 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |
| Slime King | -0.15 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| Reprogram | -0.15 | 2 | 4 | 4 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.15 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flute of Taming | -0.15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.08 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.08 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.08 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.08 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Limitless Slime | -0.08 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.08 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.08 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.08 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.08 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.08 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.08 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.08 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.08 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.08 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.08 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.08 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clockwork Musicbox | +0.08 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.08 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.08 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Temporal Spectrometer | +0.08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Command the Hunt | -0.08 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |