← Ascent Chicago 2024 Main Event

SlimesTier 1

at Ascent Chicago 2024 Main Event

decks
50 (17.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
391 203-148-40
overall winrate
57.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.7% avg ELO +2.5 per match
expected value
54.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1328 · median 1265 · range 1116–1652 (50 pilots with an ELO rating)
976 Q1 1188 Q3 1384 1736
34% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 13.5% 77 32-31-14 50.6% 50.6% 51.1% +0.4
Wind Allies 9.9% 42 20-19-3 51.2% 51.1% 52.9% +1.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 8.9% 36 18-15-3 54.2% 53.8% 51.4% +0.5
Water Ravishing Mill 8.9% 48 26-18-4 58.3% 57.7% 56.3% +2.2
Fire Aggro 7.1% 31 15-15-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.0% +1.1
Water Allies 3.9% 19 9-9-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.4% +0.6
Fire Crux Mage 3.5% 17 8-8-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% -0.0
Fire Arcane 2.5% 12 8-3-1 70.8% 65.6% 57.6% +3.2
Fire Erupting 2.1% 13 5-6-2 46.2% 47.1% 56.2% +2.6
Fire Slimes 2.1% 16 8-7-1 53.1% 52.5% 53.2% +1.3
Water Neos 1.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 68.5% +17.8
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.4% 6 2-3-1 41.7% 45.0% 46.7% -1.8
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.4% 7 5-1-1 78.6% 68.2% 67.8% +9.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.1% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 60.6% +5.6
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.1% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 74.0% +17.9
Water Crux Lorraine 1.1% 8 2-3-3 43.8% 45.8% 51.6% +0.8
Water Crux Mage 1.1% 6 6-0-0 100.0% 80.0% 83.7% +18.0
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.4% +2.3
Fire Umbra Diana 0.7% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 66.3% +12.2
Norm Tera Silvie 0.7% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.7% 0
Water Vanitas 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.4% +19.9
Wind Diana 0.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.5% +14.9
Wind Overlord 0.7% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 61.6% +7.4
Wind Slice & Dice 0.7% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 76.6% +17.0
Wind Slimes 0.7% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 34.7% -11.4
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.6% +10.6
Fire Crux Merlin 0.4% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 58.6% +8.3
Water Diana 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Water Luxem Assassin 0.4% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 54.1% +3.1
Water Slimes 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.3% +16.4
Water Tera Silvie 0.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.0% -2.9
Water Tonoris 0.4% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 62.1% +11.6
Water Umbra Diana 0.4% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 57.2% +5.4
Water Zander 0.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.7% -18.1
Wind Arcane 0.4% 0
Wind Crux Mage 0.4% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 76.6% +19.8
Wind Neos 0.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.4% +13.9
Wind Umbra Diana 0.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.4% +9.0
Decklists · 50 from this event

The 50 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 32 mirror matches (4 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 7 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Tera Sight, Slimeshield, Escape the Wreckage. Losers more often ran: Meadowbloom Dryad, Vampiric Slime, Slime's Blessing.

Played more by winners
Tera Sight
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 13, the loser ran more in 4, both ran the same in 15.
Slimeshield
Winning decks ran 3.4 copies on average, losing decks 3.2.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 10, the loser ran more in 3, both ran the same in 19.
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 2.8 copies on average, losing decks 2.7.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 13, the loser ran more in 7, both ran the same in 12.
Blissful Calling
Winning decks ran 2.9 copies on average, losing decks 2.6.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 11, the loser ran more in 7, both ran the same in 14.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Winning decks ran 1.8 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 24.
Bestial Frenzy
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 32 mirrors: the winner ran more in 9, the loser ran more in 5, both ran the same in 18.
Played more by losers
Meadowbloom Dryad
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.9.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 13, the winner ran more in 5, both ran the same in 14.
Vampiric Slime
Losing decks ran 1.1 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 11, the winner ran more in 4, both ran the same in 17.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 2.1 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 12, the winner ran more in 7, both ran the same in 13.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 1.7.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 13, the winner ran more in 8, both ran the same in 11.
Green Slime
Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 7, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 23.
Nullifying Lantern
Losing decks ran 0.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 32 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 24.
Show all 59 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Tera Sight +0.28 13 4 0
Meadowbloom Dryad -0.25 5 13 3
Vampiric Slime -0.22 4 11 5
Slimeshield +0.22 10 3 19
Escape the Wreckage +0.19 13 7 12
Slime's Blessing -0.16 7 12 10
Baby Blue Slime -0.16 8 13 8
Beastbond Paws -0.16 0 5 0
Green Slime -0.16 2 7 0
Blissful Calling +0.12 11 7 14
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.12 6 2 24
Bestial Frenzy +0.12 9 5 2
Tariff Ring -0.12 0 4 0
Baby Green Slime +0.12 4 0 28
Safeguard Amulet +0.12 4 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.09 9 6 1
Turbo Charge +0.09 9 6 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.09 3 0 0
Ordinary Bear +0.09 4 1 2
Fast Cure +0.09 4 1 2
Ethereal Slime +0.06 2 0 30
Beastbond Boots +0.06 7 5 19
Nullifying Lantern -0.06 3 5 1
Slime Eruption -0.06 7 9 16
Red Slime +0.06 4 2 0
Verdant Scepter +0.06 2 0 30
Baby Red Slime +0.06 2 0 30
Beastbond Ears +0.06 4 2 25
Song of Nurturing -0.06 0 2 0
Horn of Beastcalling -0.03 3 4 25
Storm Slime +0.03 1 0 31
Gather Slimes +0.03 1 0 31
Backup Charger +0.03 2 1 29
Limitless Slime +0.03 1 0 31
Reprogram +0.03 9 8 15
Stonescale Band +0.03 1 0 31
Twilight Slime +0.03 9 8 15
Engineered Slime -0.03 5 6 3
Scavenging Raccoon +0.03 2 1 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -0.03 0 1 0
Bauble of Mending -0.03 0 1 0
Life Essence Amulet -0.03 0 1 0
Melodious Flute -0.03 0 1 0
Slime Nexus -0.03 0 1 0
Convoking Slime -0.03 0 1 0
Key Slime Pudding -0.03 0 1 0
Young Beastbonder -0.03 0 1 0
Avatar of Gaia -0.03 0 1 0
Slime Totem -0.03 0 1 0
Blue Slime -0.03 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.03 2 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +0.03 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide +0.00 1 1 30
Slime King +0.00 9 9 14
Lustrous Slime +0.00 6 6 20
Gaia's Songbird +0.00 12 12 8
Verdant Slime +0.00 6 6 17
Tithe Proclamation +0.00 3 3 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.00 2 2 0

JSON: /api/events/8630/archetypes/Slimes