← Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - North American Nationals.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 1.2% | 20 | 55.0% | 46.5% | 56.1% | 52.3% | 1392 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 33 | 20.2% | 207 | 57.5% | 59.2% | 55.9% | 57.7% | 1323 | — |
| 3 | Fire Neos | 1 | 0.6% | 11 | 68.2% | 66.2% | 55.8% | 56.7% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Umbra Ranger | 3 | 1.8% | 26 | 57.7% | 61.7% | 53.1% | 54.7% | 1236 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Crux Hybrid | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 64.3% | 59.8% | 53.1% | 54.1% | 1494 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 12 | 7.4% | 85 | 54.7% | 51.3% | 52.9% | 51.3% | 1365 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 6 | 3.7% | 48 | 49.0% | 50.3% | 52.8% | 54.5% | 1293 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 6 | 3.7% | 40 | 57.5% | 53.4% | 52.5% | 51.0% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 8 | 4.9% | 59 | 54.2% | 53.9% | 52.3% | 52.4% | 1368 | — |
| 10 | Wind Crux Mage | 2 | 1.2% | 14 | 60.7% | 59.1% | 52.2% | 52.6% | 1279 | — |
| 11 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 1.2% | 18 | 52.8% | 54.2% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1374 | — |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 18 | 11.0% | 126 | 50.4% | 51.0% | 49.2% | 49.3% | 1368 | — |
| 13 | Fire Erupting | 22 | 13.5% | 153 | 50.3% | 49.9% | 48.6% | 47.9% | 1342 | — |
| 14 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 1.2% | 14 | 35.7% | 41.1% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 1336 | — |
| 15 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 48.5% | 48.7% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Triskit | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 21.4% | 31.1% | 48.1% | 48.8% | 1165 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 28.6% | 32.3% | 47.1% | 46.1% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Aggro | 11 | 6.7% | 85 | 51.8% | 52.6% | 47.0% | 47.2% | 1335 | — |
| 19 | Fire Lorraine | 2 | 1.2% | 8 | 43.8% | 48.5% | 45.6% | 46.1% | 1292 | — |
| 20 | Water Luxem Zander | 1 | 0.6% | 5 | 20.0% | 37.4% | 44.6% | 47.0% | 1262 | — |
| 21 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 35.7% | 40.1% | 44.6% | 44.0% | 1263 | — |
| 22 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 1.2% | 12 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 44.4% | 43.3% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Water Neos | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 14.3% | 29.2% | 43.9% | 44.6% | 1165 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Rogue | 5 | 3.1% | 35 | 42.9% | 42.6% | 43.4% | 42.6% | 1328 | — |
| 25 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.6% | 8 | 25.0% | 36.4% | 42.6% | 44.7% | 1302 | — |
| 26 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 1.2% | 14 | 21.4% | 26.1% | 42.4% | 42.1% | 1132 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Water Arcane | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 35.7% | 37.5% | 42.3% | 40.3% | 1274 | — |
| 28 | Wind Allies | 15 | 9.2% | 86 | 38.4% | 35.7% | 41.7% | 39.8% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Wind Neos | 2 | 1.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 23.4% | 41.6% | 37.3% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Wind Beast | 1 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.0% | 33.4% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.6% | 7 | 28.6% | 36.5% | 35.4% | 34.6% | 1182 | ↓ low |