Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Ascent Santa Clara
decks
23
(7.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
175
69-81-25
overall winrate
46.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1328
· range 1122–1656
(23 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1197
Q3 1420
1750
22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
22% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.8% | 51 | 18-25-8 | 43.1% | 43.6% | 46.0% | -1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.2% | 19 | 13-6-0 | 68.4% | 65.2% | 64.9% | +5.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.6% | 15 | 7-6-2 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 58.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 16 | 3-10-3 | 28.1% | 32.5% | 23.6% | -10.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.1% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 45.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 46.9% | -1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 7 | 5-0-2 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 66.9% | +8.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 71.8% | +14.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 46.2% | -1.8 |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 35.5% | -9.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.6% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 62.6% | +7.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 9 | 2-4-3 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 45.4% | -2.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 29.4% | -13.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.4% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.1% | +21.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 35.9% | -22.5 |
| Water Fractal | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Water Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.1 |
| Water Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +20.9 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 23 from this event
The 23 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Fragmented Spirit of Wind, Gentle Respite, Lunar Conduit. Losers more often ran: Spellshield: Astra, Fertile Grounds, Heavenly Guide.
Fragmented Spirit of Wind
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Gentle Respite
Winning decks ran 2.8
copies on average,
losing decks 2.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Lunar Conduit
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Spellshield: Astra
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 2.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Fertile Grounds
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Heavenly Guide
Losing decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Ingredient Pouch
Losing decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Zephyr
Losing decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
winning decks 2.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Scatter Essence
Losing decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
winning decks 2.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Show all 62 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 47 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fertile Grounds | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Foraging Servant | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cosmic Bolt | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Lunar Conduit | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Ingredient Pouch | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Indolent Leisure | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regenerate | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orchestrated Seizure | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Elysian Astrolabe | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Empowering Prayer | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Stars | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astromech Attendant | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Barter Herbs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flash Freeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Astarte, Celestial Dawn | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Three Visits | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cometfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 |