← Ascent Kuala Lumpur

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Ascent Kuala Lumpur. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Water Overlord
54.4%
0.2% share · 9 matches
↓ low
1st
Water Fractal
55.2%
20.8% share · 724 matches
3rd
Water Genbu
53.8%
9.8% share · 380 matches
↑ top
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Fractal 91 20.8% 724 56.2% 58.9% 55.2% 57.5% 1317 —
2 Water Overlord 1 0.2% 9 61.1% 65.9% 54.4% 58.4% 1172 ↓ low
3 Water Genbu 43 9.8% 380 55.4% 51.5% 53.8% 50.6% 1366 ↑ top
4 Wind Neos 1 0.2% 10 55.0% 53.3% 53.6% 53.5% 1249 —
5 Water Astra Cleric 2 0.5% 12 37.5% 51.8% 53.4% 58.2% 1132 ↓ low
6 Wind Diana 1 0.2% 10 55.0% 47.5% 53.3% 51.5% 1360 ↑ top
7 Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 0.2% 10 45.0% 41.7% 53.2% 51.4% 1405 ↑ top
8 Water Ravishing Mill 7 1.6% 73 54.8% 43.9% 53.2% 45.7% 1344 —
9 Wind Astra Cleric 36 8.2% 332 53.0% 49.0% 52.1% 48.3% 1338 —
10 Fire Crux Merlin 1 0.2% 9 50.0% 43.6% 51.8% 49.9% 1584 ↑ top
11 Wind Seiryuu 24 5.5% 226 53.8% 55.0% 51.2% 52.2% 1318 —
12 Wind Slice & Dice 1 0.2% 9 50.0% 55.1% 51.0% 53.3% 1159 ↓ low
13 Water Crux Mage 1 0.2% 9 44.4% 43.7% 51.0% 50.1% 1466 ↑ top
14 Fire Tera Diao Chan 2 0.5% 11 36.4% 37.9% 50.9% 50.2% 1186 ↓ low
15 Wind Shadowstrike 27 6.2% 247 52.8% 51.0% 50.8% 49.3% 1318 —
16 Fire Polkhawk 1 0.2% 9 55.6% 62.8% 50.7% 54.8% 1232 ↓ low
17 Water Luxem Zander 1 0.2% 9 61.1% 59.1% 50.4% 52.1% 1418 ↑ top
18 Fire Firebloom Burn 8 1.8% 67 50.7% 51.5% 50.2% 50.0% 1283 —
19 Fire Aggro 33 7.6% 294 50.0% 54.1% 50.1% 53.2% 1318 —
20 Wind Neos Tonoris 1 0.2% 6 33.3% 30.3% 49.8% 47.7% 1384 ↑ top
21 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 0.2% 6 41.7% 50.3% 49.7% 52.8% 1067 ↓ low
22 Fire Astra Cleric 2 0.5% 19 63.2% 57.9% 49.4% 47.2% 1470 ↑ top
23 Fire Slimes 2 0.5% 18 41.7% 53.9% 49.3% 54.0% 1173 ↓ low
24 Fire Luxem Assassin 27 6.2% 232 50.2% 47.0% 49.1% 47.4% 1305 —
25 Wind Crux Mage 1 0.2% 9 61.1% 50.1% 48.2% 45.6% 1453 ↑ top
26 Wind Luxem Zander 12 2.7% 99 47.0% 42.9% 48.0% 44.5% 1345 —
27 Wind Umbra Tristan 2 0.5% 10 30.0% 37.6% 47.3% 48.2% 1143 ↓ low
28 Fire Crux Hybrid 2 0.5% 12 33.3% 33.0% 47.3% 45.6% 1344 —
29 Wind Overlord 1 0.2% 13 53.8% 57.4% 47.2% 48.8% 1301 —
30 Wind Razorgale 3 0.7% 29 53.4% 59.2% 46.8% 49.9% 1263 —
31 Wind Luxem Guo Jia 1 0.2% 9 44.4% 50.5% 46.4% 48.5% 1422 ↑ top
32 Fire Suzaku 19 4.3% 154 43.5% 45.2% 46.3% 48.0% 1230 ↓ low
33 Fire Byakko 3 0.7% 32 45.3% 44.6% 45.5% 43.9% 1249 —
34 Wind Byakko 3 0.7% 27 42.6% 43.9% 45.2% 45.2% 1238 ↓ low
35 Fire Crux Mage 6 1.4% 53 46.2% 43.9% 44.5% 42.7% 1253 —
36 Wind Exia 1 0.2% 7 35.7% 44.6% 43.9% 44.4% 1279 —
37 Slimes 5 1.1% 39 41.0% 42.4% 43.6% 43.0% 1306 —
38 Fire Tera Cleric 1 0.2% 5 40.0% 46.5% 43.0% 42.8% 1150 ↓ low
39 Wind Allies 41 9.4% 334 41.5% 43.6% 43.0% 44.8% 1225 ↓ low
40 Water Allies 5 1.1% 43 45.3% 41.1% 43.0% 41.1% 1332 —
41 Water Crux Lorraine 2 0.5% 17 41.2% 36.4% 42.7% 39.3% 1368 ↑ top
42 Fire Seiryuu 9 2.1% 72 33.3% 34.6% 42.6% 43.7% 1125 ↓ low
43 Water Tera Mage 1 0.2% 7 35.7% 38.6% 41.8% 39.7% 1267 —
44 Fire Exia 9 2.1% 77 33.8% 40.6% 41.2% 46.2% 1189 ↓ low
45 Wind Diao Chan 1 0.2% 3 0.0% 24.6% 40.0% 38.4% 970 ↓ low
46 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 0.2% 9 33.3% 36.0% 39.5% 37.0% 1170 ↓ low
47 Fire Dawn of Ashes 1 0.2% 9 27.8% 43.1% 38.9% 42.6% 1352 —
48 Fire Arcane 4 0.9% 30 28.3% 35.6% 37.0% 37.6% 1166 ↓ low