← Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
decks
2
(0.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
8-9-0
overall winrate
47.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
62.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1147
· median 1147
· range 941–1353
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1203
Q3 1403
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 68.4% | +10.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.2% | +18.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.1% | -8.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Allen | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
