← Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 34 | 22-10-2 | 67.6% | 65.8% | 64.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.9% | 11 | 7-0-4 | 81.8% | 73.3% | 70.5% | +8.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.4% | 9 | 8-1-0 | 88.9% | 76.9% | 71.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 11 | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -6.1 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +3.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 11 | 3-6-2 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 70.0% | +10.7 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.4% | +1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.8% | +6.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -2.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.0% | +0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Allen | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.9% | +5.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 13 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Losers more often ran: Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Vanish from Sight.
No cards correlated with winning.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Luxera's Map | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Striking Illuminance | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Art of War | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |