← Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
decks
37
(14.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
299
114-132-53
overall winrate
47.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.3%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1325
· range 1063–1539
(37 pilots with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1203
Q3 1403
1633
30% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
11% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 98 | 29-50-19 | 39.3% | 39.7% | 38.8% | -3.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.4% | 18 | 8-9-1 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 46.3% | -1.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 20 | 9-9-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -0.7 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 9 | 2-6-1 | 27.8% | 34.6% | 32.6% | -8.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 17 | 5-8-4 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 34.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 11 | 0-7-4 | 18.2% | 26.7% | 29.5% | -8.9 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 11 | 8-3-0 | 72.7% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 10 | 4-3-3 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 55.1% | +2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 12 | 5-6-1 | 45.8% | 46.9% | 42.3% | -3.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 16 | 6-8-2 | 43.8% | 45.0% | 43.5% | -2.6 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 48.0% | -0.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.5% | -5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 32.2% | -11.4 |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 7 | 4-1-2 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.0% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -1.8 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +15.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.4% | -10.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.1% | +3.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Fire Allen | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Fire Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 78.0% | +17.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +1.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +22.0 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.9% | -6.9 |
Decklists · 37 from this event
The 37 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 25 mirror matches (8 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 5 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Dream Fairy, Innervate Agility, Resolute Stand. Losers more often ran: Nullifying Mirror, Crystallized Destiny, Stifling Trap.
Dream Fairy
Winning decks ran 3.1
copies on average,
losing decks 2.6.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 15.
Innervate Agility
Winning decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.7.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
13, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 8.
Resolute Stand
Winning decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
11, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 11.
Aesan Protector
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 2.3.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
13, the loser ran more in 6,
both ran the same in 6.
Cleansing Reunion
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 2.2.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 11.
Veiling Breeze
Winning decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
losing decks 2.8.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 16.
Nullifying Mirror
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
9, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 14.
Crystallized Destiny
Losing decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
10, the winner ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 11.
Stifling Trap
Losing decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
winning decks 3.0.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
7, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 16.
Ensnaring Fumes
Losing decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
winning decks 1.9.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
7, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 16.
Penumbral Waltz
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 20.
Dungeon Guide
Losing decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.7.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 17.
Show all 59 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream Fairy | +0.40 | 10 | 0 | 15 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.36 | 13 | 4 | 4 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.32 | 11 | 3 | 8 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.28 | 13 | 6 | 6 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.28 | 2 | 9 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.24 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.24 | 4 | 10 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.20 | 7 | 2 | 16 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.20 | 2 | 7 | 16 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.20 | 2 | 7 | 16 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.20 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.16 | 2 | 6 | 17 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.16 | 0 | 4 | 21 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.16 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Emergent Dagger | -0.12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.12 | 1 | 4 | 20 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.12 | 4 | 1 | 19 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.12 | 3 | 0 | 22 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| Fractal of Insight | -0.12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.12 | 8 | 5 | 12 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -0.12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Dreamy Unicorn | -0.12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.08 | 0 | 2 | 23 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.08 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.08 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.08 | 6 | 4 | 11 | |
| Brackish Lutist | -0.08 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.04 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 24 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.04 | 1 | 2 | 22 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.04 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 24 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.04 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.04 | 7 | 6 | 8 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.04 | 6 | 5 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.04 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 2 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 7 | 7 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Reflected Edge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |