← Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 34 | 16-16-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.9% | 11 | 3-8-0 | 27.3% | 33.3% | 37.6% | -5.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.4% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 48.7% | -0.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 63.5% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 47.9% | -1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 11 | 6-3-2 | 63.6% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 40.3% | -6.2 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.0% | +17.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.8% | +8.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -3.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +2.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.5% | -6.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.1% | -7.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.3 |
| Fire Allen | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Briar, Schwartz King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chrysalis, Hazy Caterpillar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |