Fire RileTier 1

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 83 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• Zetdivx 81 cards · placed #2
• EwiseiQ 81 cards · placed #3
• Nayiys 87 cards · placed #4
• Aqua 85 cards · placed #10
• Muck1234 82 cards · placed #13
• DuoDuo 83 cards · placed #14
• Drakoitzu 85 cards · placed #16
• Zefier 83 cards · placed #19
• MrJack 85 cards · placed #20
• Miffy 83 cards · placed #21
• Nick 85 cards · placed #22
• Legilus 85 cards · placed #23
• Levin 83 cards · placed #25
• WinotaRinSeri 87 cards · placed #26
• klvr 85 cards · placed #27
• Kyuuya 83 cards · placed #28
• Awi 83 cards · placed #30
• Manju 87 cards · placed #31
• JCee 84 cards · placed #33
• TheBirdIsATrap 79 cards · placed #34
• Yukineko 85 cards · placed #35
• Esperino 86 cards · placed #36
• Tyran 81 cards · placed #37
• RubyXillia 83 cards · placed #38
• Zero99 84 cards · placed #41
• Fuukasan 85 cards · placed #42
• Frashe 83 cards · placed #44
• Render 85 cards · placed #47
• Slaine 83 cards · placed #50
• AlterFumes 82 cards · placed #51
• Wilson 81 cards · placed #52
• Nickie 85 cards · placed #56
• therarely 85 cards · placed #57
• JunJian 82 cards · placed #60
• Nickson 83 cards · placed #62
• Daedaene 86 cards · placed #63
• Woon 83 cards · placed #65
• Justinljw 83 cards · placed #68
• Leowong 83 cards · placed #72
• iLoony 83 cards · placed #73
• TENRYU 83 cards · placed #75
• IvanTan 83 cards · placed #80
• Chase 81 cards · placed #90
• Kel 83 cards · placed #94
• Sez 83 cards · placed #95
• Uzeep 86 cards · placed #96
• Porfavor 87 cards · placed #97
• Edm0nd 83 cards · placed #98
• KuKuLord 83 cards · placed #99
• Hakuryu 81 cards · placed #100
• Valence 83 cards · placed #102
• Rhetoryx 83 cards · placed #103
• ALV155GOD 85 cards · placed #105
• Empty 81 cards · placed #106
• Stev3 81 cards · placed #107
• kq123 79 cards · placed #108
• Keez 86 cards · placed #119
• Yunn 83 cards · placed #121
• CHOCO 83 cards · placed #123
• Gomori 85 cards · placed #128
• Seannsj 84 cards · placed #130
• Sha 85 cards · placed #132
• Moo 81 cards · placed #141
• Moca 81 cards · placed #152
• Conman 84 cards · placed #155
• Zanie 85 cards · placed #158
• Angkuku6322 83 cards · placed #160
• wenwen 83 cards · placed #164
• Amoslim 83 cards · placed #171
• RubyZura93 83 cards · placed #175
• Terpe 83 cards · placed #176
• Faerur 86 cards · placed #177
• Lam 77 cards · placed #181
• Ely 83 cards · placed #185
• Kee 83 cards · placed #191
• KwekKwek 81 cards · placed #197
• Kyliss 83 cards · placed #200
• Joeson 81 cards · placed #209
• NightSpring 82 cards · placed #212
• chazzex 82 cards · placed #213
• Chris1809 84 cards · placed #239
• Alick 83 cards · placed #247
• Kevin2030 79 cards · placed #248

In 94 mirror matches (11 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 19 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Dungeon Guide, Incapacitate. Losers more often ran: Spirit of Fire, Vengeful Paramour, Sword of Seeking.

↑ Played more by winners

Blanche, Sheltering Saint

Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 38, the loser ran more in 17, both ran the same in 39.

Dungeon Guide

Winning decks ran 3.4 copies on average, losing decks 2.7.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 30, the loser ran more in 12, both ran the same in 52.

Incapacitate

Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 29, the loser ran more in 14, both ran the same in 51.

Backup Charger

Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 32, the loser ran more in 17, both ran the same in 45.

Fast Cure

Winning decks ran 1.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 31, the loser ran more in 16, both ran the same in 47.

Juggle Knives

Winning decks ran 0.9 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.

Of 94 mirrors: the winner ran more in 20, the loser ran more in 7, both ran the same in 67.

↓ Played more by losers

Spirit of Fire

Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.6.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 29, the winner ran more in 13, both ran the same in 52.

Vengeful Paramour

Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 23, the winner ran more in 7, both ran the same in 64.

Sword of Seeking

Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 28, the winner ran more in 15, both ran the same in 51.

Vermilion Decree

Losing decks ran 1.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.6.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 25, the winner ran more in 12, both ran the same in 57.

Blazing Throw

Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 24, the winner ran more in 11, both ran the same in 59.

Heated Vengeance

Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 94 mirrors: the loser ran more in 22, the winner ran more in 10, both ran the same in 62.