← Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Grand Archive DTR KL Regionals 2025
decks
9
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
89
38-36-15
overall winrate
51.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.0%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1271
· median 1266
· range 1132–1409
(9 pilots with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1203
Q3 1403
1633
22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
22% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 22 | 8-8-6 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.5% | +2.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.9% | 16 | 8-6-2 | 56.2% | 55.0% | 56.5% | +2.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 62.3% | +7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 36.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.2% | 4 | 0-1-3 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.6% | -1.8 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.8% | -1.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 37.1% | -9.6 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.9% | -15.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 39.8% | -7.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Allen | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
